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WEATHER — THE PRE-DAWN UPDATE

Weather NYC: 46 and Clear Before Dawn — Tuesday Tops the Week at 61.8, and Thursday's Rain Arrives on a Mild Night

The city is at 46.2 degrees under a clear sky, feeling like 41. Ahead: the week's warmest day today (61.8, dry), a dry parade Wednesday, and then Thursday's rain — now set to arrive on an unusually mild night, with a low of only 53.2.

New York City Gotham News New York • Just now • WEATHER — THE PRE-DAWN UPDATE
Weather NYC: 46 and Clear Before Dawn — Tuesday Tops the Week at 61.8, and Thursday's Rain Arrives on a Mild Night (New York City Gotham News)

The pre-dawn numbers first: 46.2 degrees, clear skies, a feels-like reading of 41, on the way to a low near 44.5 before the sun takes over. It is the last cold start of the dry stretch — Tuesday climbs from here to 61.8, the highest high on the board, with the precipitation chance at 1 percent. If the week has a postcard day, this is it, and it arrives exactly when the city needs its errands run before a holiday.

Wednesday holds the pattern the Veterans Day parade was promised: high 59.2, low 42.2, and a zero in the precipitation column for the 12:30 march up Fifth Avenue. Two dry days, back to back, in mid-November is the feed's whole good news — because everything after Wednesday is the turn.

Thursday's rain is now the week's most interesting number, and not only for the 76 percent chance and rain code that have held for days. Thursday's low has eased to 53.2 — barely ten degrees under its high of 58.9 — which means the rain arrives on a mild, almost warm night rather than a cold one. Friday keeps the rain (79 percent) but drops the temperatures behind it: high 55.8, low 39.9, and then Saturday's high is just 45 with the feed's code still reading 85 — snow showers — at a 26 percent chance.

The shape of the week, in one line: spend Tuesday outside, march Wednesday dry, and let Thursday's warm rain close the door — the cold on the other side of it, highs in the 40s by Saturday, is the season arriving on schedule.

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